Part of the thematic semester: Risk in Complex Systems
Global change and rising pressure on the natural environment are having increasingly visible impacts on the sustainability of human activities. Events such as heat waves that were formerly very rare arebecoming more common. Droughts and major windstorms are perceived to be increasing in frequency. It is essential to be able to forecast the likely size and impacts of such events if we are to adapt to them and attempt to mitigate their future effects.
In response to this pressing need, the statistical modeling of complex extreme events has evolved rapidly over the past decade, becoming an area of intense research activity, with major developments in mathematical theory being rapidly translated into statistical tools that are increasingly used in applications.
The purpose of this workshop will be to stimulate further interactions between statistical methodologists and environmental scientists, in order to identify gaps in the current statistical toolkit, to improve existing statistical tools, to identify new areas and topics for development, and to stimulate new research interactions between statistical, environmental, engineering and other stakeholder communities.